The current forecast date is 06 June, showing data until 09 June.
The forecasting model is an unweighted ensemble of three individual models:
covid19.nhs.data)All models are trained on the last 6 weeks of data (from 25 April) and forecasts are made for the following 14 days.
Note: The following Trusts/UTLAs have been temporarily excluded from this report due issues with the underlying case forecasts in one or more associated UTLAs: St Helens And Knowsley Teaching Hospitals NHS Trust (UTLA: Halton), Northumbria Healthcare NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Northumberland), Warrington And Halton Teaching Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust (UTLA: Halton).
Below is more detailed information about potential Trusts of interest, defined as Trusts where more than 20% of patients are admitted from one of the following UTLAs: Blackburn with Darwen, Manchester, Birmingham, Gloucestershire.